Bets and Turns on “IF”
As I mentioned last week, you can play “if/reverses” instead of parlays if your book provides them. If you’re unfamiliar with “if/reverse” wagers, we’ll explain how they work, how “if” bets and parlays differ, and under what circumstances each is preferable. The Interesting Info about ยูฟ่าเบท.
There is no ambiguity about what an “if” wager is. In a parlay with two games starting at separate times, an “if” bet is placed on the first Team, and if that Team wins, a second “if” bet is placed on the second Team at the same odds. A real “if” bet entails placing an equal wager on both teams rather than doubling up on the chance that the underdog will win.
By informing your bookie that you want to place an “if” bet, you can avoid making two separate calls and securing the current line for a future game. You can also set “if” wagers on the outcome of two games that start at the exact moment. The bookie won’t take action until the first game is finished. Then, he’ll wager the same amount on the second game, even though the first one already comes out on top.
An “if” wager is the same as two straight bets with the standard vig, and the second bet cannot be canceled after it has been placed. If you place an “if” wager and the second game doesn’t start right away, you lose both bets. If the first game ends in a victory, you can wager on the second. Because of this, placing an “if” wager is less reliable than placing two straight bets. The only method to bet on one game only if another win is to establish an “if” bet when the two games you bet on overlap in time. There is no need to rescind a bet on the second game if the schedules of the two games overlap. It should be noted that most books do not permit you to fill in the second game afterward when the two games begin at different times. When placing a bet, you must specify both sides.
Tell your bookie, “I want to make an ‘if’ bet, and then tell me Team A IF Team B for $100.” This tells your bookie that you want to bet $110 to win $100 on Team A, and only if Team A wins do you want to bet another $110 to win $100 on Team B.
There is no wager on the second squad if the First Team in the “if” bet loses. If you lose your first wager and the second Team fails, you will still lose $110 on the “if” chance. It would cost you $110 to win $100 if you bet on the second squad and the first Team wins. If the second Team lost, you would lose only the $10 vig on the share of the two groups. You would earn $200 if both games went in your favor: $100 on Team A and another $100 on Team B. Therefore, the most you could lose on an “if” is $110, and the most you could gain is $200. This benefit is offset by the risk of losing $110 instead of just $10 in vig every time the teams separate and the First Team in the bet loses.
As you can see, the order of games in an “if” wager is crucial. You’ll lose the whole thing if you divide your bet and choose the loser first. However, only the vig will be forfeited in a split where the losing side is the underdog.
One way gamblers got around the ambiguity of the winning and losing sequence was to wager on two “if” scenarios, one for each team. Team example, For example, a bettor could save $90 by placing two $55 “if” bets instead of one $110 wager by wagering first on “Team A if Team B” and then on “Team A if Team B.” In the alternative scenario, Team B would finish ahead of Team A. A “reverse” or “if/reverse” is a double bet that swaps the starting lineups of the same two teams.
A “reverse” consists of two independent “if” wagers:
If Team B bets $55, then Team A will receive $50.
Team B will receive $50 if Team A bets $55.
You don’t have to specify both wagers. However, to place a “reverse” wager, inform the teller of your desired bet, the two teams involved, and the total.
If both sides win, you will receive the same payout as if you had placed a $100 “if” bet. If Team A wins, you win $50 on the “if” wager and another $50 on Team B for $100. If Team B wins, you win $50 on that bet and another $50 on Team A for $200 from the two “if” bets.
If both teams lose, you will lose $110, the same as if you had placed a single $100 “if” bet on either team losing. So, for example, if TeaTeamloses, you will lose $55 on the first “if” combination and nothing will transfer to Team B; if Team B loses, you will lose $55 on the second “if” combination and nothing will move to Team A.
If Team A loses, you will lose $55 on the first combination and have no action on the winning Team B, for a total loss of $60 on a split. If Team A wins, you will win $50 on Team B and have no action on the losing Team A, for a total loss of $55. If Team A wins, you will lose $10 on a split, regardless of which team wins or loses.
BotTeame single “if” became $110, and the two reversed “if” wagers for $55 payout $200 when both teams cover the spread, but the bookmakers would never put themselves in such a precarious position. When Team A loses, the bettor wins $50, but when Team B fails, the bettor loses an additional $50 (for a total loss of $80 instead of $110).
(If charts and explanations give you a headache, skip them and write down the principles; in my next piece, I’ll summarize the rules in an easy-to-copy list.)
The basic rule for “if” bets is the same as that for parlays:
Making “if” predictions, whenever you wager on more than two teams, is not a good idea unless you can reliably win more than 52.5% of your wagers.
To the winning bettor, the “if” bet introduces an unnecessary element of chance into the betting equation since both games should be wagered on regardless of the outcome of the other. However, to the losing bettor, the “if” bet prevents him from betting on the second team whenever the first team loses, thus reducTeamhis expected loss.
ATeamf” bettor spends an extra $100 when Team A loses, and Team B wins but saves $110 when both teams fail.
In conclusion, “if” bets are beneficial because they limit the number of events the loser wagers on.
Since “if/reverses” work out the same as “if” bets, they place the winning bettor in the same position. However, anything that prevents the winning bettor from betting more games is terrible, and “if” bets will cost the winning handicapper money.
There are times, however, when a winner should consider placing a wager on a parlay or “if.”
There are two situations in which a winner with a clear expectation should make an “if” bet or parlay:
When he has to choose between betting on an “if/reverse,” a combination, or a teaser, or when he has no other options.
When wagering on interdependent events.
If you’re the best man at your friend’s wedding, waiting to walk down the aisle, and your laptop looked silly in the pocket of your tux, so you left it in the car if you only bet offshore in a deposit account with no credit line; if the book has a $50 minimum phone bet; if you like two games which overlap in time; if you pull out your trusty cell 5 minutes before kickoff; if you want two games which overlap in time; if you like
The elderly sage would often ask, “Is that what’s bothering you, bucky? If so, you should keep your chin up, keep smiling, and look on the bright side by placing a $50 “if” wager on your two teams, which, as we’ll see below, is an excellent alternative to a parlay if you’re a winner.
The best way to bet on a winner is with a straight wager, but in the case of co-dependent bets, as we’ve seen, the advantages of betting combinations greatly outweigh the drawbacks. In the case of a co-dependent chance, the bettor receives increased parlay odds of 13-5 on combined wagers with a greater-than-average expectation of winning.
For example, if we wanted to play two out of four possible results in two parlays of the favorite and the over and the under, we could net a $160 win when one of our combinations came in. However, if we straight bet $110 on the favorite and the underdog and $110 on the over and the under, we would lose the vig no matter how often the favorite and underdog or the under and over combinations won.
Bets with “IF” Conditions vs. Parlays
In a $110 “reverse” bet, we would win $180 every time one of our combinations hits (the $400 win on the winning if/reverse minus the $220 loss on the losing if/change). Based on a $110 parlay, which we’ll use for consistent comparisons, our net parlay wins when one of our combinations hits $176 (the $286 win on the winning parlay minus the $110 loss on the losing parlay).
In a split where the under comes in with the favorite, and the overcomes in with the underdog, the parlay and the reverse will lose $110. Still, the reverse will lose $120, giving it a $4 advantage on the winning side and a $10 gift on the losing side, respectively.
However, the odds of winning are not 50/50 when placing a bet on a side and an intertwined total. For example, if the favorite covers the large spread, the game is much more likely to go over the relatively low capacity, and if the famous fails to protect the ample space, the game is much more likely to go under the total.
When making two combinations, you have two chances to win. You only need to win one out of the two. Each of the combinations has its independent positive expectation. If we assume the opportunity for either the favorite or the underdog to win is 100% (obviously, one or the other must win), then all we need is for the underdog to win.
Betting “if/reverses” will cause us to lose an additional $10, the 28 times the results split, for a total increased loss of $4 x 28 = $280. Obviously, the difference is slight at a win rate of 72%.
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